BLACKDECK.

GLOBAL EVENTS / REAL-WORLD EXPOSURE

See the event.
Understand the exposure.

What happened, what could be disrupted,
and the evidence connecting the two.

Source-based screening2026-09-24 03:00 UTCPotential pathways, not verified damage.
Analysis refresh: every 15 minutes.
Global potential exposure mapSelect a marker to inspect the story, multiple classifications and conditional impact pathways. Marker size shows coded event-type severity, not physical loss. Locations are approximate.
Choose a point. Follow its impact pathway.
TransportEnergyMaterialsTrade rulesUnmapped

Size = coded severity · number = grouped stories

Natural Earth geography · approximate GDELT centroids · color is a display hint, not an exclusive classification
6,210source-story groups / latest 24h
97with candidate business pathways
2,753with similar prior coverage
What these numbers mean ↗

TODAY IN 30 SECONDS

What changed — and what to watch next.

New pathways, escalations and evidence changes are recalculated every refresh; repeated coverage is separated from physical impact potential.

87new pathway signals
18escalating signals
6targets under watch
22repeat-coverage groups

WHAT CHANGED

Escalating signal Russian strikes damage two wog oil depots in ukraine photo Kyiv, Kyyiv, Misto, Ukraine · Crude oil & refining HIGH 58.6/100 potential Escalating signal Oil settles around 4 irans president vows never surrender Yanbu, Al Madinah, Saudi Arabia · Crude oil & refining HIGH 56.0/100 potential Escalating signal Heating oil bills iran prices Pennsylvania, United States · Crude oil & refining HIGH 56.0/100 potential Escalating signal Oil tanker earnings near per day as middle east disruption deepens Yanbu, Al Madinah, Saudi Arabia · Crude oil & refining HIGH 56.0/100 potential

FOLLOW THE CONNECTION

What may be affected?

Not every conflict affects every commodity.
Links appear only when a rule has supporting evidence.

SUPPLY CHAIN

Ports & shipping

Shipment delays / rerouting risk

39candidate story groups
Conditional pressureMODERATE · 53.6/100availability ↓ · lead time ↑ · cost pressure ↑ · price pressure ↔
Verified transit delay (days)Not verified
Inspect a supporting story →
COMMODITY

Crude oil & refining

Production / delivery availability risk

29candidate story groups
Conditional pressureHIGH · 58.6/100availability ↓ · lead time ↑ · cost pressure ↑ · price pressure ↑
Verified output loss (barrels/day)Not verified
Inspect a supporting story →
SUPPLY CHAIN

Trade & payment eligibility

Transaction / counterparty restriction risk

24candidate story groups
Conditional pressureHIGH · 58.8/100availability ↓ · lead time ↑ · cost pressure ↑ · price pressure ↔
Verified restricted transaction valueNot verified
Inspect a supporting story →
COMMODITY

Industrial metals

Industrial input availability risk

3candidate story groups
Conditional pressureMODERATE · 47.5/100availability ↓ · lead time ↑ · cost pressure ↑ · price pressure ↑
Verified production loss (tonnes/day)Not verified
Inspect a supporting story →
SUPPLY CHAIN

Rail & road freight

Inland delivery / lead-time risk

3candidate story groups
Conditional pressureMODERATE · 47.5/100availability ↓ · lead time ↑ · cost pressure ↑ · price pressure ↔
Verified delivery delay (days)Not verified
Inspect a supporting story →
SUPPLY CHAIN

Semiconductor supply

Component availability / lead-time risk

1candidate story groups
Conditional pressureMODERATE · 48.6/100availability ↓ · lead time ↑ · cost pressure ↑ · price pressure ↑
Verified capacity / lead-time changeNot verified
Inspect a supporting story →

A story can link to several targets. Target counts overlap and must not be added together.

EVENT → MECHANISM → EXPOSURE

Stories worth a closer look.

Ranked for review, not by proven economic damage.
127 groups shown from the latest source window.

REPETITION IS NOT ONE THING

Less new information.
Not necessarily less physical impact.

Ten reports about one closure are not ten closures. But a closure lasting ten days can create a growing delivery problem.

Blackdeck separates duplicate records, similar coverage, new information and reporting persistence. It does not infer lost barrels, tonnes or money from article counts.

Read the repetition model →

What is established — and what is not.

Available: machine-coded actions, locations, reporting counts and a historical source window. Inferred: multiple classifications and conditional business pathways. Not yet established: outage duration, lost production, shipment delay, company loss or a causal price effect.

Open the reference rules and definitions →