GLOBAL RISK INTELLIGENCE
Risk, exposure, and change — on one screen.
Blackdeck turns public global-event data into explainable risk signals across geography, commodities, supply chains, and business exposure.
Data as of
2026-09-22
Generated 2026-09-23T16:15:02Z
Snapshot
FULL
60-day baseline complete
60/60 daily partitions ready
Baseline status
Ready now
GLOBAL RISK MAP
Event type × intensity
Live 2026-09-23 · 11125 filtered events
Watch
Elevated
High
RISK MOVERS
What changed?
1
Mass Violence
81 events · 395 mentions
74.0
+1.1
2
Armed Conflict
6515 events · 30274 mentions
73.6
+-0.0
3
Physical Violence
1508 events · 6839 mentions
68.0
-0.2
4
Military Tension
379 events · 1782 mentions
54.3
+-0.0
5
Civil Unrest
769 events · 3998 mentions
50.2
+0.2
6
Diplomatic Disruption
1058 events · 4785 mentions
41.0
+0.6
7
Coercion / Sanctions
5585 events · 25615 mentions
40.9
-0.1
IMPACT SIGNALS
What may be affected?
Grains
HIGH · 6515 event links
73.6
Defense
HIGH · 6894 event links
72.5
Shipping
HIGH · 7952 event links
68.3
Industrial Operations
HIGH · 1589 event links
68.3
Logistics
ELEVATED · 2358 event links
62.4
Energy
ELEVATED · 2277 event links
62.0
Crude Oil
ELEVATED · 12479 event links
58.4
LNG
ELEVATED · 12479 event links
58.4
Agriculture
ELEVATED · 850 event links
52.5
Trade Flows
WATCH · 1058 event links
41.0
Rule-based exposure proxy until commodity, supply-chain and company mappings are production-ready.
CORRELATION
Event intensity relationships
Event intensity ↔ Media mentions
r = 0.114
n = 107063
Event intensity ↔ Source count
r = 0.091
n = 107063
Event intensity ↔ Average tone
r = -0.018
n = 107063
Descriptive correlation only. It does not imply causation. Commodity-price event studies, lag correlation, regression and R² are the next analytical layer.
GEOGRAPHY
Highest current intensity
CN76.02 events
AC76.02 events
BP74.42 events
NE73.62 events
OS72.86 events
IO72.81 events
CT70.91 events
CJ70.52 events
SM70.41 events
PE69.920 events
EVENTS
Highest-intensity event records
IntensityEventLocationEvidence
100.0
MIGRANT / UNITED KINGDOM — Coercion / SanctionsCoercion / Sanctions
Folkestone, Kent, United Kingdom
11 sources · 66 mentions
100.0
MIGRANT — Coercion / SanctionsCoercion / Sanctions
Folkestone, Kent, United Kingdom
11 sources · 44 mentions
100.0
POLICE OFFICER / AFRICA — Armed ConflictArmed Conflict
Johannesburg, Gauteng, South Africa
11 sources · 33 mentions
100.0
POLICE / UNITED KINGDOM — Coercion / SanctionsCoercion / Sanctions
Gosport, Hampshire, United Kingdom
10 sources · 60 mentions
100.0
COMPANY — Armed ConflictArmed Conflict
Dnipro, Ukraine (general), Ukraine
6 sources · 48 mentions
100.0
COMPANY — Armed ConflictArmed Conflict
Kremenchuk, Poltavs'ka Oblast', Ukraine
6 sources · 48 mentions
100.0
REGIONAL GOVERNOR — Armed ConflictArmed Conflict
Samara, Samarskaya Oblast', Russia
6 sources · 48 mentions
98.8
PRESIDENT / AFRICA — Armed ConflictArmed Conflict
Johannesburg, Gauteng, South Africa
11 sources · 22 mentions
98.8
PRESIDENT / JOHANNESBURG — Armed ConflictArmed Conflict
Johannesburg, Gauteng, South Africa
11 sources · 22 mentions
97.3
FRANCE / MIGRANT — Physical ViolencePhysical Violence
English Channel, United Kingdom (general), United Kingdom
7 sources · 42 mentions
97.0
UNITED KINGDOM / MIGRANT — Coercion / SanctionsCoercion / Sanctions
Gosport, Hampshire, United Kingdom
7 sources · 56 mentions
96.4
UKRAINE — Armed ConflictArmed Conflict
Samara, Samarskaya Oblast', Russia
6 sources · 36 mentions
96.4
UKRAINIAN / RUSSIA — Armed ConflictArmed Conflict
Moscow, Moskva, Russia
6 sources · 36 mentions
96.4
UKRAINIAN / RUSSIA — Armed ConflictArmed Conflict
Moscow, Moskva, Russia
6 sources · 36 mentions
PIPELINE READINESS
From event to business impact
Event ingestLIVE
100% coverage
60-day historyLIVE
100.0% coverage
Normalize / deduplicateNEXT
0% coverage
Risk taxonomyLIVE
100% coverage
Commodity / SCM proxyPROVISIONAL
35% coverage
Company exposurePLANNED
0% coverage
Price event studyPLANNED
0% coverage